2025 Oscars Best Supporting Actress Predictions

Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress — Danielle Deadwyler and Zoe Salda?a Make Strong Awards Impression at Telluride
Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress — Danielle Deadwyler and Zoe Salda?a Make Strong Awards Impression at Telluride

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Emilia Perez
Emilia Perez

Weekly Commentary (Updated Sept. 3, 2024): More to come.

Read: You can see all Academy Award predictions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars.

Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.

The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The full rankings are below. All movie listings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to change.


And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank

Performer & Film

1

Zoe Salda?a — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) **

2

Tilda Swinton — “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) **

3

Danielle Deadwyler — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) **

4

Isabella Rossellini — “Conclave” (Focus Features)

5

Monica Barbaro — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)


Next in Line

Rank

Performer & Film

6

Saoirse Ronan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films) **

7

Lady Gaga — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.) **

8

Selena Gomez — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)

9

Ariana Grande — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures) **

10

Joan Chen — “Dìdi” (Focus Features)


Other Contenders

Rank

Performer & Film

11

Leonie Benesch — “September 5” (No U.S. Distribution) **

12

Carrie Coon — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) **

13

Michele Austin — “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)

14

Connie Nielsen — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)

15

Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)

16

Elizabeth Olsen — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) **

17

Adriana Paz — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)

18

Margaret Qualley — “The Substance” (Mubi)

19

Rachel Sennott — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)

20

Carol Kane — “Between the Temples” (Sony Pictures Classics)


Also In Contention

Rank

Performer & Film

21

Maria Bakalova — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)

22

Jamie Lee Curtis — “The Last Showgirl” (No U.S. Distribution) **

23

Elle Fanning — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures) **

24

Lashana Lynch — “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Pictures)

25

Lesley Manville — “Queer” (A24)

26

Carla Gugino — “The Friend” (No U.S. Distribution) **

27

Kelly Reilly — “Here” (Sony Pictures) **

28

Erin Kellyman — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films) **

29

Emily Watson — “Small Things Like These” (Lionsgate)

30

Jennifer Lopez — “Unstoppable” (Amazon MGM)

Eligible Titles (Best Supporting Actress)

Eligible Titles (Best Supporting Actress)
Eligible Titles (Best Supporting Actress)


** This list is incomplete and not yet finalized. Not all films have distribution or release dates. All are subject to change.

  • Maria Bakalova — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliffe)

  • Sophie Wilde — “Babygirl” (A24)

  • Catherine O’Hara — “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)

  • Jenna Ortega — “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.) **

  • Winona Ryder — “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)

  • Alison Steadman — “Better Man” (Paramount Pictures)

  • Carol Kane — “Between the Temples” (Sony Pictures Classics)

  • Jodie Comer — “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features) **

  • Nykiya Adams — “Bird” (Mubi)

  • Erin Kellyman — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)

  • Saoirse Ronan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films) **

  • Hayley Squires — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)

  • Lashana Lynch — “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Pictures)

  • Cailee Spaeny — “Civil War” (A24)

  • Monica Barbaro — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)

  • Elle Fanning — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)

  • Isabella Rossellini — “Conclave” (Focus Features)

  • Dafne Keen — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)

  • Glenn Close — “The Deliverance” (Netflix)

  • Demi Singleton — “The Deliverance” (Netflix)

  • Joan Chen — “Dìdi” (Focus Features)

  • Rebecca Ferguson — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)

  • Florence Pugh — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)

  • Zendaya — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)

  • Ana de Armas — “Eden” (No U.S. Distribution)

  • Vanessa Kirby — “Eden” (No U.S. Distribution)

  • Sydney Sweeney — “Eden” (No U.S. Distribution)

  • Naomi Watts — “Emmanuelle” (Neon)

  • Karla Sofía Gascón — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) **

  • Selena Gomez — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)

  • Adriana Paz — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)

  • Zoe Salda?a — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) **

  • Moses Ingram — “The End” (Neon) **

  • Tilda Swinton — “The End” (Neon)

  • Oluniké Adeliyi — “The Fire Inside” (Amazon MGM)

  • Carla Gugino — “The Friend” (No U.S. Distribution) **

  • Sarah Pidgeon — “The Friend” (No U.S. Distribution)

  • Connie Nielsen — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)

  • Michele Austin — “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)

  • Michelle Dockery — “Here” (Sony Pictures)

  • Kelly Reilly — “Here” (Sony Pictures)

  • Robin Wright — “Here” (Sony Pictures) **

  • Chloe East — “Heretic” (A24) **

  • Sophie Thatcher — “Heretic” (A24) **

  • Carrie Coon — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) **

  • Natasha Lyonne — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) **

  • Elizabeth Olsen — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) **

  • Adria Arjona — “Hit Man” (Netflix) **

  • Sasha Calle — “In the Summers” (Music Box Films)

  • Lio Mehiel — “In the Summers” (Music Box Films) **

  • Julianne Nicholson — “Janet Planet” (A24) **

  • Zoe Ziegler — “Janet Planet” (A24)

  • Zazie Beetz — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)

  • Lady Gaga — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.) **

  • Catherine Keener — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)

  • Hong Chau — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)

  • Emma Stone — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures) **

  • Marion Cotillard — “Lee” (Roadside Attractions)

  • Valeria Golino — “Maria” (Netflix)

  • Jessica Chastain — “Mothers’ Instinct” (Neon) **

  • Anne Hathaway — “Mothers’ Instinct” (Neon) **

  • Tiffany Boone — “Mufasa: The Lion King” (Walt Disney Pictures)

  • Beyoncé Knowles-Carter — “Mufasa: The Lion King” (Walt Disney Pictures)

  • Maddie Ziegler — “My Old Ass” (Amazon MGM)

  • Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)

  • Emma Corrin — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)

  • Danielle Deadwyler — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) **

  • Lesley Manville — “Queer” (A24)

  • Jennifer Grey — “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)

  • Amber Midthunder — “Rez Ball” (Netflix)

  • Tilda Swinton — “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)

  • Ella Hunt — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)

  • Kim Matula — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)

  • Rachel Sennott — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)

  • Oprah Winfrey — “Six Triple Eight” (Netflix)

  • Eileen Walsh — “Small Things Like These” (Lionsgate)

  • Emily Watson — “Small Things Like These” (Lionsgate)

  • Margaret Qualley — “The Substance” (Mubi)

  • Jennifer Lopez — “Unstoppable” (Amazon MGM)

  • Ariana Grande — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures) **

  • Michelle Yeoh — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)

  • Laura Linney — “Wildcat” (Oscilloscope Laboratories)

  • Tilda Cobham-Hervey — “Young Woman and the Sea” (Walt Disney Pictures)

More Information (Oscars: Best Supporting Actress)

More Information (Oscars: Best Supporting Actress)
More Information (Oscars: Best Supporting Actress)


2024 category winner: Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)

2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

  • Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024

  • General entry, best picture, RAISE submission deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024

  • Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024

  • Preliminary voting begins Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.

  • Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.

  • Oscar Shortlists Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024

  • Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024

  • Nominations voting begins Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.

  • Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.

  • Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025

  • Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025

  • Final voting begins Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT

  • Final voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT

  • Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025

  • 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025

Oscars Prediction Categories

Best Picture

Director

Actor in a Leading Role

Actress in a Leading Role

Actor in a Supporting Role

Actress in a Supporting Role

Original Screenplay

Adapted Screenplay

Animated Feature

Production Design

Cinematography

Costume Design

Film Editing

Makeup and Hairstyling

Sound

Visual Effects

Original Score

Original Song

Documentary Feature

International Feature

Animated Short

Documentary Short

Live Action Short

Casting (coming in 2026)

About the Academy Awards

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

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