Donald Trump Will Be Rejected by Most Swing State Voters if He’s Convicted of a Crime, New Poll Suggests
A new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll surveyed 4,956 registered voters across seven battleground swing states
More than half of swing-state voters would not vote for Donald Trump in the upcoming 2024 presidential race if he were convicted of a crime, according to a new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.
The poll of voters in seven battleground states showed that 53% of respondents would not vote for the former president if he is guilty of a crime. Additionally, if Trump, 77, were sentenced to prison, the number would increase to 55%.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult surveyed a sample of 4,956 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin from Jan. 16 through 22, 2024. The participants varied based on gender, age, race, marital status, home ownership, 2020 Presidential vote and state of residence.
The former president has been charged with a total of 91 criminal counts in four separate criminal cases since leaving office, each of which are awaiting trial.
In March 2023, Trump pleaded not guilty to 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in the first degree following an investigation into an alleged hush money payment he made to adult film star Stormy Daniels while he was a presidential candidate in 2016. The trial begins on March 25 in New York, reported PBS.
In June 2023, Trump was indicted by a federal grand jury. The indictment alleges that Trump retained over 100 classified documents with some of the most sensitive topics originating from seven intelligence agencies, including the CIA, NSA and Department of Defense. He was charged with 40 different counts. The trial begins May 20, 2024, in Fort Pierce, Florida, reported PBS.
Related: Every Crime Donald Trump Has Been Charged with This Year
On Aug. 1, 2023, Trump was indicted on four criminal counts by a federal grand jury investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot. Per the indictment, Trump was charged with one count each of conspiracy to defraud the United States, conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding, obstruction of and attempt to obstruct an official proceeding, and conspiracy against rights.
The trial could begin on March 4. However, Judge Tanya Chutkan said it may be delayed to a later date, reported Politico.
Two weeks later, Trump was indicted in a fourth criminal investigation regarding his efforts to overturn Georgia’s 2020 election results. He was charged with 13 counts. Prosecutors have proposed an Aug. 5, 2024 trial date, reported PBS.
Additionally, four days after the poll concluded on Jan. 26, Trump was ordered to pay E. Jean Carroll $83.3 million for making defamatory statements about the writer and denying that he sexually assaulted her in the 1990s, as determined by a jury in the civil trial.
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Related: Trump's 2024 Veepstakes Have Begun: A Look at His Top Choices for Running Mate
As the 2024 presidential race continues, the major Republican candidates remaining are Trump and Nikki Haley. On Jan. 21, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump.
On Jan. 23, the former president won the New Hampshire Republican primary, one week after he dominated his party's Iowa caucuses.
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