‘Hacks,’ ‘Shogun’ are the odds-on favorites for Critics Choice TV awards
Are the 2025 Critics Choice Awards about to be a repeat of the recent Emmys and Golden Globes?
Television awards faves Hacks, Shōgun, and Baby Reindeer are expected to dominate Friday’s ceremony, which was delayed twice in the wake of the devastating Los Angeles wildfires.
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Season 3 of Max’s laugh riot Hacks is predicted to walk away with four trophies: comedy series, comedy actress (Jean Smart), comedy supporting actress (Hannah Einbinder), and comedy supporting actor (Paul W. Downs). In fact, the only category Hacks is expected to lose is Best Comedy Actor … because it doesn’t compete there. Instead, our odds-makers believe Adam Brody (Nobody Wants This) had better start preparing a speech.
Likewise, Season 1 of FX’s historical epic Shōgun has four races locked up, per our rankings: drama series, drama actress (Anna Sawai), drama actor (Hiroyuki Sanada), and drama supporting actor (Tadanobu Asano). The remaining statuette is Best Drama Supporting Actress, where Allison Janney (The Diplomat) is the odds-on favorite to prevail over Shōgun costar Moeka Hoshi.
Baby Reindeer, Netflix’s series about an aspiring comedian who deals with a stalker, is highly favored to win two categories: limited series and limited/movie supporting actress (Jessica Gunning). However, its lead actor Richard Gadd is predicted to be bested by Colin Farrell (The Penguin), in a replay of what happened at the Golden Globes. Rounding out the genre are expected victories for The Great Lillian Hall in TV movie, True Detective: Night Country in limited/movie actress (Jodie Foster), and The Sympathizer in limited/movie supporting actor (Robert Downey Jr.).
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Gold Derby’s Critics Choice TV odds are based on the combined forecasts of experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, editors who cover awards year-round for this website, top 24 users who had the best accuracy scores last year, and the mass of users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. As of today, more than 1,400 people have chimed in with their picks. Track the awards races by exploring all of our charts and graphs, and be sure to sound off in our forums.
Here are the Gold Derby Critics Choice predictions in all 16 TV categories, with our forecasted winners denoted in gold.
BEST COMEDY SERIES
1. Hacks — 19/5
2. Nobody Wants This — 11/2
3. Abbott Elementary — 7/1
4. English Teacher — 17/2
5. Only Murders in the Building — 17/2
6. What We Do in the Shadows — 17/2
7. Somebody Somewhere — 9/1
8. St. Denis Medical — 10/1
BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
1. Jean Smart (Hacks) — 3/1
2. Kristen Bell (Nobody Wants This) — 9/2
3. Bridget Everett (Somebody Somewhere) — 9/2
4. Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) — 11/2
5. Natasia Demetriou (What We Do in the Shadows) — 15/2
6. Kristen Wiig (Palm Royale) — 17/2
BEST COMEDY ACTOR
1. Adam Brody (Nobody Wants This) — 31/10
2. Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building) — 9/2
3. Brian Jordan Alvarez (English Teacher) — 9/2
4. Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building) — 6/1
5. Kayvan Novak (What We Do in the Shadows) 6/1
6. David Alan Grier (St. Denis Medical) — 15/2
BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) — 17/5
2. Liza Colón—Zayas (The Bear) — 7/2
3. Patti LuPone (Agatha All Along) — 5/1
4. Janelle James (Abbott Elementary) — 6/1
5. Stephanie Koenig (English Teacher) — 6/1
6. Annie Potts (Young Sheldon) — 9/1
BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Paul W. Downs (Hacks) — 17/5
2. Harvey Guillen (What We Do in the Shadows) — 4/1
3. Michael Urie (Shrinking) — 4/1
4. Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary) — 5/1
5. Brandon Scott Jones (Ghosts) — 15/2
6. Asher Grodman (Ghosts) — 9/1
BEST DRAMA SERIES
1. Shōgun — 37/10
2. Slow Horses — 6/1
3. The Diplomat — 13/2
4. Industry — 15/2
5. The Day of the Jackal — 8/1
6. The Old Man — 9/1
7. Interview with the Vampire — 19/2
8. Evil — 21/2
BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
1. Anna Sawai (Shōgun) — 59/20
2. Kathy Bates (Misery) — 9/2
3. Keri Russell (The Diplomat) — 9/2
4. Keira Knightley (Black Doves) — 11/2
5. Caitriona Balfe (Outlander) — 15/2
6. Shanola Hampton (Found) — 17/2
BEST DRAMA ACTOR
1. Hiroyuki Sanada (Shōgun) — 59/20
2. Eddie Redmayne (The Day of the Jackal) — 4/1
3. Rufus Sewell (The Diplomat) — 9/2
4. Jeff Bridges (The Old Man) — 11/2
5. Ncuti Gatwa (Doctor Who) — 8/1
6. Antony Starr (The Boys) — 8/1
BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Allison Janney (The Diplomat) — 59/20
2. Moeka Hoshi (Shōgun) — 69/20
3. Fiona Shaw (Bad Sisters) — 5/1
4. Anna Sawai (Pachinko) — 13/2
5. Nicole Kidman (Lioness) 15/2
6. Skye P. Marshall (Matlock) — 17/2
BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Tadanobu Asano (Shōgun) — 11/4
2. Takehiro Hira (Shōgun) — 39/10
3. John Lithgow (The Old Man) — 5/1
4. Michael Emerson (Evil) — 6/1
5. Sam Reid (Interview with the Vampire) — 15/2
6. Mark—Paul Gosselaar (Found) — 19/2
BEST TV MOVIE
1. The Great Lillian Hall — 82/25
2. Rebel Ridge — 39/10
3. Out of My Mind — 4/1
4. It’s What’s Inside — 11/2
5. Musica — 15/2
6. V/H/S/Beyond — 19/2
BEST LIMITED SERIES
1. Baby Reindeer — 19/5
2. The Penguin — 5/1
3. Disclaimer — 13/2
4. Ripley — 15/2
5. True Detective: Night Country — 15/2
6. Masters of the Air — 19/2
7. We Were the Lucky Ones — 10/1
8. Mr Bates vs the Post Office — 23/2
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS
1. Jodie Foster (True Detective: Night Country) — 31/10
2. Cristin Milioti (The Penguin) — 18/5
3. Cate Blanchett (Disclaimer) — 9/2
4. Jessica Lange (The Great Lillian Hall) — 11/2
5. Naomi Watts (Feud: Capote vs. The Swans) — 15/2
6. Phoebe—Rae Taylor (Out of My Mind) — 19/2
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR
1. Colin Farrell (The Penguin) — 31/10
2. Richard Gadd (Baby Reindeer) — 69/20
3. Andrew Scott (Ripley) — 9/2
4. Kevin Kline (Disclaimer) — 6/1
5. Tom Hollander (Feud: Capote vs. The Swans) — 15/2
6. Ewan McGregor (A Gentleman in Moscow) — 19/2
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Jessica Gunning (Baby Reindeer) — 27/10
2. Kali Reis (True Detective: Night Country) — 9/2
3. Leila George (Disclaimer) — 5/1
4. Deirdre O’Connell (The Penguin) — 11/2
5. Dakota Fanning (Ripley) — 13/2
6. Betty Gilpin (Three Women) — 9/1
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Robert Downey Jr. (The Sympathizer) — 31/10
2. Ron Cephas Jones (Genius: MLK/X) — 9/2
3. Liev Schreiber (The Perfect Couple) — 5/1
4. Treat Williams (Feud: Capote vs. The Swans) — 11/2
5. Hugh Grant (The Regime) — 6/1
6. Logan Lerman (We Were the Lucky Ones) — 8/1
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