Nancy Pelosi continues to exercise ultimate power over Democrats

When you’ve lost Nancy Pelosi, you might as well clear out your desk.

Amid all the chaos and whiplash in US politics over the past few weeks, one law remained constant: Pelosi is uniquely influential and has the power to make or break careers – even those of American presidents.

The former House speaker did more than anyone else to re-engineer the race for the White House, breathing new life into her Democratic party and sending Donald Trump’s Republicans into a tailspin.

Pelosi, 84, publicly encouraged 81-year-old Joe Biden to make a decision about his re-election campaign when he had already insisted he had no plans to step aside. Once he did drop out and endorse Kamala Harris, Pelosi scored another victory when former congressman Tim Walz was named as running mate.

If Biden, a friend of Pelosi for 40 years, nurses a grudge about being shoved aside after his jarring debate performance, she might quote The Godfather: “It’s not personal … it’s strictly business.” The California congresswoman insists that her number one priority is ensuring her old nemesis Trump never returns to the White House.

“I don’t think that President Biden would have stepped back without Nancy Pelosi’s influence,” said Susan Page, author of Madam Speaker: Nancy Pelosi and the Lessons of Power. “He had made it clear that he didn’t want to. He had, in fact, announced that he was going to stay in the race.”

Despite that, when Pelosi appeared on the MSNBC network’s Morning Joe programme – of which Biden is known to be regular viewer – she implied the matter was far from closed. “It’s up to the president to decide if he is going to run,” she said. “We’re all encouraging him to make that decision. Because time is running short.”

Pelosi denies that her intervention on Morning Joe was part of a grand plan to force Biden’s hand. But in an interview with the New Yorker this week, she did state with unusual candour: “I’ve never been that impressed with his political operation. They won the White House. Bravo. But my concern was: this ain’t happening, and we have to make a decision for this to happen.”

Related: Pelosi has ‘never been that impressed’ with Biden’s political operation

Pelosi also rejected reports that she had been working the phones to mastermind a pressure campaign against the president. “I never called one person, but people were calling me saying that there was a challenge there. So there had to be a change in the leadership of the campaign, or what would come next.”

Still, Pelosi’s private conversations with Biden himself appear to have been crucial in assessing the risk of losing not only the White House but also Congress, which she cares about deeply.

Page, who is Washington bureau chief of USA Today, continued: “Nancy Pelosi is more comfortable with the exercise of power than anyone I’ve ever covered and that was exhibited when she called Biden himself and had that tough conversation about whether he had a real prospect to win.”

Finally Biden gave in and announced that he would not seek reelection, much to the relief of his party. He and Pelosi have not spoken since. When Page, interviewing Pelosi this week for USA Today, asked if the episode has affected her relationship with Biden, the former speaker replied: “You’d have to ask him.”

Pelosi reportedly spoke to Harris, a fellow San Francisco Democrat, by phone within hours of Biden exiting the race and endorsed her the following day with “immense pride and limitless optimism for our country’s future”. The rest of the Democratic party quickly fell into line, avoiding a messy internal contest for the nomination.

Some, however, caution against overestimating Pelosi’s influence.

Elaine Kamarck, a longtime member of the Democratic National Committee and former White House official, said: “She’s pretty powerful, but I don’t think this is all about Nancy Pelosi. This is about the state party chairmen in 50 states in the United States. It’s about 4,000 delegates who all came to the same conclusion. It’s about the House members. It’s a lot about congressman [James] Clyburn.

“Put it this way: there’s way too much being made of one person. The entire party came to this conclusion on their own. We simply ran out of time. It was ridiculous to assume that there was going to be a national campaign for delegates mounted with two months to go. That was never going to happen. Nobody got into the race; nobody even whispering about getting into the race. This was the logical conclusion and as many people said, ‘Well, this is after all what we have vice-presidents for.’”

When it came to choosing Harris’s own potential vice-president, Pelosi has said she thought any of the contenders would have been strong choices. But she made no secret of her enthusiasm for former House members to counter the way that, in her view, presidents tend to be more deferential to the Senate. Walz was a member of the House from 2007 to 2019 before becoming governor of Minnesota.

Page commented: “She is famously loyal to people who have served in the House of Representatives because that has always been her place. She has huge regard for the House and disregard for the Senate, among other places with which she is often battling. When Walz was in the House, he was one of her majority makers. He served in a district that Democrats wouldn’t necessarily be expected to win and so that made him especially important to her.”

Pelosi, whose husband, Paul, was attacked by a hammer-wielding assailant in their San Francisco home in 2022, is now House speaker emerita but will seek another term – her 20th – in November’s elections. The events of this tumultuous summer have underlined her status as the most powerful woman in American history, an accolade that might soon pass to Harris. What makes her so effective?

Page said: “She listens more than she talks and that was true in this case as well. She listened to Democratic members of Congress who had concerns about Biden. She didn’t, I don’t think, try to marshal them; she was a hub that they knew they could call and talk to about that.

“She’s also completely fearless. She’s a tough interview because she doesn’t care if you like her and she doesn’t care what you want to know. She knows what she cares about, what she wants to say, and that’s what she’s going to say. Some of the vulnerabilities that many politicians have, she doesn’t have.

“That’s one reason she didn’t really aspire to the presidency and probably would have had trouble getting there. She was made for being a legislative leader, working behind the scenes, and that’s what she’s done in a way that’s been pretty historic.”

This week, Pelosi spoke with reporters and columnists about her new book The Art of Power, My Story as America’s First Woman Speaker of the House. According to an Associated Press account, she repeatedly declined to detail her conversations with Biden during the difficult transition.

“At some point, I will come to terms with my, to peace, with my own role in this,” she said. “I think that part of all of our goals in this was to preserve his legacy, a fabulous legacy, that would go right down the drain if Bozo got elected to the White House.”

Asked if her book title was an intended dig at Trump’s The Art of the Deal, Pelosi replied: “Nothing that I do has anything to do with him, except his downfall.”